Monte Carlo profit simulation

Thousands of scenarios at once: P5, P50 and P95 profit and the chance of a loss.

Monte CarloWith everything uncertain at once, how far can profit swing?

Median profit (P50)$15,506.03

Bad case (P5)-$5,500.82

Good case (P95)$39,432.27

Chance of a loss11.9%

✓ 5,000 runs with a fixed seed — reopening gives the same result

Drivers are assumed independent, triangular around today's values.

PriceUSD

Units sold per year

Cost per unitUSD

Fees on price%

Fixed costs per yearUSD

Price uncertainty ±%

Volume uncertainty ±%

Unit cost uncertainty ±%

Fixed cost uncertainty ±%

Runs

Profit across the simulated runsin runs

Highest 12,261: 816 runs (16%) · lowest 64,295: 3 runs · total 5,000 runs

What you enter is kept in this browser; a share link carries exactly these numbers.

Run it on your own figures

Upload your orders or report to DataMimi and ask in plain English — this calculator opens prefilled with the prices, volumes and costs from your own file, and every figure shows which rows it came from.

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	Runs
-22,428	6
-16,646	33
-10,865	119
-5,083	282
698	487
6,480	709
12,261	816
18,043	805
23,825	646
29,606	471
35,388	338
41,169	158
46,951	79
52,732	32
58,514	16
64,295	3